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We present a novel long short-term memory (LSTM) approach for time-series prediction of the sand demand which arises from preparing the sand moulds for the iron casting process of a foundry. With our approach, we contribute to qualify LSTM and its combination with feedback-corrected optimal scheduling for industrial processes.
The sand is produced in an energy intensive mixing process which is controlled by optimal scheduling. The optimal scheduling is solved for a fixed prediction horizon. One major influencing factor is the sand demand, which is highly disturbed, for example due to production interruptions. The causes of production interruptions are in general physically unknown. We assume that information about the future behavior of the sand demand is included in current and past process data. Therefore, we choose LSTM networks for predicting the time-series of the sand demand.
The sand demand prediction is performed by our multi model approach. This approach outperforms the currently used naive estimation, even when predicting far into the future. Our LSTM based prediction approach can forecast the sand demand with a conformity up to 38 % and a mean value accuracy of approximately 99%. Simulating the optimal scheduling with sand demand prediction leads to an improvement in energy savings of approximately 1.1% compared to the naive estimation. The application of our novel approach at the real production plant of a foundry proves the simulation results and verifies the capability of our approach.
The optimization of lubricated sealing systems with respect to the stick-slip effect requires a friction model that describes the complex friction behavior in the lubricated contact area. This paper presents an efficient dynamic friction model based on the Stribeck curve, which allows to investigate the influencing parameters through finite element (FE) simulations. The simulation of a tribometer test using this friction model proofs that the model correlates well with the tribometer test results. It is shown that the system stiffness has a significant influence on the stick-slip tendency of the system.
Mit der Anwendung der Norm ISO 50001 und der einhergehenden Einführung eines Energiemanagementsystems (kurz EnMS) kann eine sukzessive Erhöhung der Energieeffizienz erreicht werden. Zur Umsetzung von Energie-Monitoring- oder Standby-Management-Funktionalitäten müssen Energiedaten in der Feldebene bereitgestellt werden und auf Edge-Devices oder SPSen mittels eines Energiemanagement-Programms ggf. im Datenformat angepasst, skaliert und auf eine etablierte Kommunikationsschnittstelle (z.B. basierend auf OPC UA- oder MQTT) abgebildet werden. Die Erstellung dieser Energiemanagement-Programme geht mit einem hohen Engineering-Aufwand einher, denn die Feldgeräte aus der heterogenen Feldebene stellen die Energiedaten nicht in einer standardisierten Semantik bereit. Um diesem Engineering-Aufwand entgegenzuwirken, wird ein Konzept für ein universelles Energiedateninformationsmodell (kurz UEDIM) vorgestellt. Dieses Konzept sieht die Bereitstellung der Energiedaten an das EnMS in einer semantisch standardisierten Form vor. Zur weiteren Entwicklung des UEDIM wird im Beitrag näher untersucht, in welcher Form Energiedaten in der Feldebene bereitgestellt werden können und welche Anforderungen für das UEDIM aufzustellen sind.
Since textual user generated content from social media platforms contains valuable information for decision support and especially corporate credit risk analysis, automated approaches for text classification such as the application of sentiment dictionaries and machine learning algorithms have received great attention in recent user generated content based research endeavors. While machine learning algorithms require individual training data sets for varying sources, sentiment dictionaries can be applied to texts immediately, whereby domain specific dictionaries attain better results than domain independent word lists. We evaluate by means of a literature review how sentiment dictionaries can be constructed for specific domains and languages. Then, we construct nine versions of German sentiment dictionaries relying on a process model which we developed based on the literature review. We apply the dictionaries to a manually classified German language data set from Twitter in which hints for financial (in)stability of companies have been proven. Based on their classification accuracy, we rank the dictionaries and verify their ranking by utilizing Mc Nemar’s test for significance. Our results indicate, that the significantly best dictionary is based on the German language dictionary SentiWortschatz and an extension approach by use of the lexical-semantic database GermaNet. It achieves a classification accuracy of 59,19 % in the underlying three-case-scenario, in which the Tweets are labelled as negative, neutral or positive. A random classification would attain an accuracy of 33,3 % in the same scenario and hence, automated coding by use of the sentiment dictionaries can lead to a reduction of manual efforts. Our process model can be adopted by other researchers when constructing sentiment dictionaries for various domains and languages. Furthermore, our established dictionaries can be used by practitioners especially in the domain of corporate credit risk analysis for automated text classification which has been conducted manually to a great extent up to today.
A semiparametric approach for meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy studies with multiple cut-offs
(2022)
The accuracy of a diagnostic test is often expressed using a pair of measures: sensitivity (proportion of test positives among all individuals with target condition) and specificity (proportion of test negatives among all individuals without targetcondition). If the outcome of a diagnostic test is binary, results from different studies can easily be summarized in a meta-analysis. However, if the diagnostic test is based on a discrete or continuous measure (e.g., a biomarker), several cut-offs within one study as well as among different studies are published. Instead of taking all information of the cut-offs into account in the meta-analysis, a single cut-off per study is often selected arbitrarily for the analysis, even though there are statistical methods for the incorporation of several cut-offs. For these methods, distributional assumptions have to be met and/or the models may not converge when specific data structures occur. We propose a semiparametric approach to overcome both problems. Our simulation study shows that the diagnostic accuracy is underestimated, although this underestimation in sensitivity and specificity is relatively small. The comparative approach of Steinhauser et al. is better in terms of coverage probability, but may lead to convergence problems. In addition to the simulation results, we illustrate the application of the semiparametric approach using a published meta-analysis for a diagnostic test differentiating between bacterial and viral meningitis in children.
Der Artikel bespricht den zweiten Teil des Tagungsbands "Kontinuitäten und Diskontinuitäten Sozialer Arbeit nach dem Ende des Nationalsozialismus". Der Band wurde von Ralph-Christian Amthor, Carola Kuhlmann und Birgit Bender-Junker herausgegeben und enthält 17 Beiträge. Er beschäftigt sich mit der bisher wenig erforschten Nachkriegs- und Übergangszeit nach dem zweiten Weltkrieg in Bezug auf Kontinuitäten und Diskontinuitäten Sozialer Arbeit.
Entwicklung und Implementierung von Schutzkonzepten haben mit dem Kinder- und Jugendstärkungsgesetz (KJSG) im Juni 2021 in vielen Handlungsfeldern der Kinder- und Jugendhilfe eine rechtliche Grundlage bekommen. Sexualisierte Gewalt ist dabei eine spezifische Herausforderung, die entsprechende Kompetenzen, Qualifikationen und Strukturen erfordert. Dem Jugendamt kommt hierbei eine Schlüsselfunktion zu. Hochproblematische Fallverläufe haben zuletzt verdeutlicht, dass diese Schlüsselfunktion einer kritischen Überprüfung und systematischen Stärkung bedarf. Es gilt insbesondere, die Themen Qualifizierung, Hilfeplanung und Schutzkonzepte zu fokussieren. Erforderlich sind praxisnahe und bedarfsgerechte Wissensbestände, eine Stärkung der professionellen Handlungskompetenz, die Weiterentwicklung organisationaler Strukturen sowie die Etablierung eigenständiger Qualitätsstandards. Das Verbundvorhaben „Fokus Jugendamt – Partizipativer Wissenstransfer zu Kooperation, Hilfeplanung und Schutzkonzepten im Kontext sexualisierte Gewalt (FokusJA)“ greift diese Desiderate mit einem Forschungs- und Transferansatz auf.
Objective
Cyberknife robotic radiosurgery (RRS) provides single-session high-dose radiotherapy of brain tumors with a steep dose gradient and precise real-time image-guided motion correction. Although RRS appears to cause more radiation necrosis (RN), the radiometabolic changes after RRS have not been fully clarified. 18F-FET-PET/CT is used to differentiate recurrent tumor (RT) from RN after radiosurgery when MRI findings are indecisive. We explored the usefulness of dynamic parameters derived from 18F-FET PET in differentiating RT from RN after Cyberknife treatment in a single-center study population.
Methods
We retrospectively identified brain tumor patients with static and dynamic 18F-FET-PET/CT for suspected RN after Cyberknife. Static (tumor-to-background ratio) and dynamic PET parameters (time-activity curve, time-to-peak) were quantified. Analyses were performed for all lesions taken together (TOTAL) and for brain metastases only (METS). Diagnostic accuracy of PET parameters (using mean tumor-to-background ratio >1.95 and time-to-peak of 20 min for RT as cut-offs) and their respective improvement of diagnostic probability were analyzed.
Results
Fourteen patients with 28 brain tumors were included in quantitative analysis. Time-activity curves alone provided the highest sensitivities (TOTAL: 95%, METS: 100%) at the cost of specificity (TOTAL: 50%, METS: 57%). Combined mean tumor-to-background ratio and time-activity curve had the highest specificities (TOTAL: 63%, METS: 71%) and led to the highest increase in diagnosis probability of up to 16% p. – versus 5% p. when only static parameters were used.
Conclusions
This preliminary study shows that combined dynamic and static 18F-FET PET/CT parameters can be used in differentiating RT from RN after RRS.
Aim:
The most suitable method for assessment of response to peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT) of neuroendocrine tumors (NET) is still under debate. In this study we aimed to compare size (RECIST 1.1), density (Choi), Standardized Uptake Value (SUV) and a newly defined ZP combined parameter derived from Somatostatin Receptor (SSR) PET/CT for prediction of both response to PRRT and overall survival (OS).
Material and Methods:
Thirty-four NET patients with progressive disease (F:M 23:11; mean age 61.2 y; SD ± 12) treated with PRRT using either Lu-177 DOTATOC or Lu-177 DOTATATE and imaged with Ga-68 SSR PET/CT approximately 10–12 weeks prior to and after each treatment cycle were retrospectively analyzed. Median duration of follow-up after the first cycle was 63.9 months (range 6.2–86.2). A total of 77 lesions (2–8 per patient) were analyzed. Response assessment was performed according to RECIST 1.1, Choi and modified EORTC (MORE) criteria. In addition, a new parameter named ZP, the product of Hounsfield unit (HU) and SUVmean (Standard Uptake Value) of a tumor lesion, was tested. Further, SUV values (max and mean) of the tumor were normalized to SUV of normal liver parenchyma. Tumor response was defined as CR, PR, or SD. Gold standard for comparison of baseline parameters for prediction of response of individual target lesions to PRRT was change in size of lesions according to RECIST 1.1. For prediction of overall survival, the response after the first and second PRRT were tested.
Results:
Based on RECIST 1.1, Choi, MORE, and ZP, 85.3%, 64.7%, 61.8%, and 70.6% achieved a response whereas 14.7%, 35.3%, 38.2%, and 29.4% demonstrated PD (progressive disease), respectively. Baseline ZP and ZPnormalized were found to be the only parameters predictive of lesion progression after three PRRT cycles (AUC ZP 0.753; 95% CI 0.6–0.9, p 0.037; AUC ZPnormalized 0.766; 95% CI 0.6–0.9; p 0.029). Based on a cut-off-value of 1201, ZP achieved a sensitivity of 86% and a specificity of 67%, while ZPnormalized reached a sensitivity of 86% and a specificity of 76% at a cut-off-value of 198. Median OS in the total cohort was not reached. In univariate analysis amongst all parameters, only patients having progressive disease according to MORE after the second cycle of PRRT were found to have significantly shorter overall survival (median OS in objective responders not reached, in PD 29.2 months; p 0.015). Patients progressive after two cycles of PRRT according to ZP had shorter OS compared to those responding (median OS for responders not reached, for PD 47.2 months, p 0.066).
Conclusions:
In this explorative study, we showed that Choi, RECIST 1.1, and SUVmax-based response evaluation varied significantly from each other. Only patients showing progressive disease after two PRRT cycles according to MORE criteria had a worse prognosis while baseline ZP and
ZPnormalized performed best in predicting lesion progression after three cycles of PRRT.
High-performance firms typically have two features in common: (i) they produce in more than one country and (ii) they produce more than one product. In this paper, we analyze the internationalization strategies of multi-product firms. Guided by several new stylized facts, we develop a theoretical model to determine optimal modes of market access at the firm–product level. We find that the most productive firmssell core varieties via foreign direct investment and export products with intermediate productivity. Shocks to trade costs and technology affect the endogenous decision to export or produce abroad at the product-level and, in turn, the relative productivity between parents and affiliates.
Background
Symptoms of depression are prevalent in people living with human immune deficiency virus/acquired immune deficiency syndrome (PLWHA), and worsened by lack of physical activity/exercises, leading to restriction in social participation/functioning. This raises the question: what is the extent to which physical exercise training affected, symptoms of depression, physical activity level (PAL) and social participation in PLWHA compared to other forms of intervention, usual care, or no treatment controls?
Method
Eight databases were searched up to July 2020, according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) protocol. Only randomised controlled trials involving adults who were either on HAART/HAART-naïve and reported in the English language, were included. Two independent reviewers determined the eligibility of the studies, extracted data, assessed their quality, and risk of bias using the Physiotherapy Evidence Database (PEDro) tool. Standardised mean difference (SMD) was used as summary statistics for the mean primary outcome (symptoms of depression) and secondary outcomes (PAL and social participation) since different measuring tools/units were used across the included studies. Summary estimates of effects were determined using a random-effects model (I2).
Results
Thirteen studies met the inclusion criteria with 779 participants (n = 596 participants at study completion) randomised into the study groups, comprising 378 males, 310 females and 91 participants with undisclosed gender, and with an age range of 18–86 years. Across the studies, aerobic or aerobic plus resistance exercises were performed 2–3 times/week, at 40–60 min/session, and for between 6-24 weeks, and the risk of bias vary from high to low. Comparing the intervention to control groups showed significant difference in the symptoms of depression (SMD = − 0.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) − 1.01, − 0.48, p ≤ 0.0002; I2 = 47%; 5 studies; 205 participants) unlike PAL (SMD = 0.98, 95% CI − 0.25, 2.17, p = 0.11; I2 = 82%; 2 studies; 62 participants) and social participation (SMD = 0.04, 95% CI − 0.65, 0.73, p = 0.91; I2 = 90%; 6 studies; 373 participants).
Conclusion
Physical exercise training could have an antidepressant-like effect in PLWHA but did not affect PAL and social participation. However, the high heterogeneity in the included studies, implies that adequately powered randomised controlled trials with clinical/methodological similarity are required in future studies.
Die gesetzlich vorgesehene Bereitstellung von Digitalisierungsangeboten stellt öffentliche Verwaltungen vor steigende Herausforderungen. Aufgrund der Heterogenität der Nutzerinnen und Nutzer ist es für öffentliche Verwaltungen häufig problematisch, klare Anforderungen zu erheben und zu erfüllen. Hinzukommen strukturelle und organisatorische Gegebenheiten wie beispielsweise ausgeprägte Entscheidungshierarchien, die eine nutzerzentrierte Vorgehensweise erschweren können. Darüber hinaus sieht sich die öffentliche Verwaltung zunehmend mit komplexer werdenden Problemen konfrontiert. Es stellt sich daher die Frage, wie in der öffentlichen Verwaltung ein moderner Ansatz zur Nutzerzentrierung und Problemlösung eingesetzt werden kann. Dieser Artikel präsentiert die Ergebnisse einer Einzelfallstudie bei der Niedersächsischen Landesbehörde für Straßenbau und Verkehr (NLStBV). Wir haben mit einer Fokusgruppe einen Design-Thinking-Workshop durchgeführt, um Potenziale und Anwendungsmöglichkeiten des Ansatzes in der öffentlichen Verwaltung zu identifizieren. Auf Basis einer SWOT-Analyse haben wir die Ergebnisse untersucht und geben vier konkrete Handlungsempfehlungen für die Einführung sowie Nutzung von Design Thinking.
Der Beitrag beschreibt die aktuellen Überlegungen zur Weiterentwicklung der informationswissenschaftlichen Studiengänge der Hochschule Hannover vor dem Hintergrund des laufenden Prozesses der Reakkreditierung. Zentrale Aspekte bilden hierbei die inhaltliche und strukturelle Weiterentwicklung des Curriculums vor dem Hintergrund der sich verändernden Bedürfnisse der Bibliotheken. Ebenfalls berücksichtigt werden verschiedene Formen der Kooperation mit der Bibliothekspraxis, hochschuldidaktische Überlegungen sowie die Einbindung der Studiengänge in die informationswissenschaftliche Forschungslandschaft.
Context: Agile software development (ASD) sets social aspects like communication and collaboration in focus. Thus, one may assume that the specific work organization of companies impacts the work of ASD teams. A major change in work organization is the switch to a 4-day work week, which some companies investigated in experiments. Also, recent studies show that ASD teams are affected by the switch to remote work since the Covid 19 pandemic outbreak in 2020.
Objective: Our study presents empirical findings on the effects on ASD teams operating remote in a 4-day work week organization. Method: We performed a qualitative single case study and conducted seven semi-structured interviews, observed 14 agile practices and screened eight project documents and protocols of agile practices.
Results: We found, that the teams adapted the agile method in use due to the change to a 4-day work week environment and the switch to remote work. The productivity of the two ASD teams did not decrease. Although the stress level of the ASD team member increased due to the 4-day work week, we found that the job satisfaction of the individual ASD team members is affected positively. Finally, we point to affects on social facets of the ASD teams.
Conclusion: The research community benefits from our results as the current state of research dealing with the effects of a 4-day work week on ASD teams is limited. Also, our findings provide several practical implications for ASD teams working remote in a 4-day work week.
Context: Companies adapt agile methods, practices or artifacts for their use in practice since more than two decades. This adaptions result in a wide variety of described agile practices. For instance, the Agile Alliance lists 75 different practices in its Agile Glossary. This situation may lead to misunderstandings, as agile practices with similar names can be interpreted and used differently.
Objective: This paper synthesize an integrated list of agile practices, both from primary and secondary sources.
Method: We performed a tertiary study to identify existing overviews and lists of agile practices in the literature. We identified 876 studies, of which 37 were included.
Results: The results of our paper show that certain agile practices are listed and used more often in existing studies. Our integrated list of agile practices comprises 38 entries structured in five categories. Conclusion: The high number of agile practices and thus, the wide variety increased steadily over the past decades due to the adaption of agile methods. Based on our findings, we present a comprehensive overview of agile practices. The research community benefits from our integrated list of agile practices as a potential basis for future research. Also, practitioners benefit from our findings, as the structured overview of agile practices provides the opportunity to select or adapt practices for their specific needs.
This paper proposes an extended Petri net formalism as a suitable language for composing optimal scheduling problems of industrial production processes with real and binary decision variables. The proposed approach is modular and scalable, as the overall process dynamics and constraints can be collected by parsing of all atomic elements of the net graph. To conclude, we demonstrate the use of this framework for modeling the moulding sand preparation process of a real foundry plant.
Catholic Ownership, Physician Leadership and Operational Strategies: Evidence from German Hospitals
(2022)
Previous research has revealed that Catholic hospitals are more likely follow a strategy of horizontal diversification and maximization of the number of patients treated, whereas Protestant hospitals follow a strategy of horizontal specialization and focus on vertical differentiation. However, there is no empirical evidence pertaining to this mechanism. We conduct an empirical study in a German setting and argue that physician leadership mediates the relationship between ownership and operational strategies. The study includes the construction of a model combining data from a survey and publicly available information derived from the annual quality reports of German hospitals. Our results show that Catholic hospitals opt for leadership structures that ensure operational strategies in line with their general values, i.e., operational strategies of maximizing volume throughout the overall hospital. They prefer part-time positions for chief medical officers, as chief medical officers are identified to foster strategies of maximizing the overall number of patients treated. Hospital owners should be aware that the implementation of part-time and full-time leadership roles can help to support their strategies. Thus, our results provide insights into the relationship between leadership structures at the top of an organization, on the one hand, and strategic choices, on the other.
Gutes Arbeiten für Mitarbeiter ist je nach Arbeitskontext unterschiedlich zu bewerten, hängt jedoch von der Gestaltung bestimmter Kontextfaktoren ab. Die Kontextfaktoren guter Arbeit sind der zentrale Forschungsgegenstand dieser Arbeit. Dabei steht ein E‑Commerce-Team (EC-Team) von Otto im Fokus der Untersuchungen.
Das Ziel unseres Artikels ist es, die Kontextfaktoren zu analysieren, die dazu führen, dass gute Arbeit ermöglicht wird. Dabei ist eine auf Dauer funktionierende Arbeitsweise gesucht, welche eine hohe Arbeitsqualität und -quantität ermöglicht. Dazu sind die beiden primären Ziele zu definieren, was gutes Arbeiten ausmacht und zum anderen die Kontextfaktoren für gutes Arbeiten innerhalb des EC-Teams bei Otto zu identifizieren.
Unsere Forschungsfrage lautet: Welche Kontextfaktoren sind für gutes Arbeiten bei Otto im EC-Team in der derzeitigen Remote-Arbeit besonders relevant und entsprechend gestaltbar?
Um die Forschungsfrage beantworten zu können, wird zunächst eine Literaturrecherche zur Definition von guter Arbeit vorgenommen. Anschließend wird untersucht, welche Faktoren laut Literatur zu einer guten Arbeit beitragen, um aus den resultierenden Faktoren Cluster zu bilden.
Die Cluster werden dem Otto EC-Team zur Abstimmung mit der Mehrpunktabfrage über das virtuelle Kollaborations-Tool MiroFootnote 2 zur Verfügung gestellt. Aufbauend auf dem Ergebnis der Abstimmung, werden ein Gamification Board, Erinnerungsmails und ein Stimmungsbarometer erstellt, um die Auswirkungen des Clusters im Rahmen eines Experiments zu analysieren.
Diese Maßnahmen werden innerhalb von zwei Wochen durchgeführt. Um die Erfahrungen der Probanden zu sammeln, werden anschließend Interviews durchgeführt und ausgewertet. Die Ergebnisse der Interviews fließen in die anschließende Handlungsempfehlung ein.
Durch die Covid-19-Pandemie und die damit einhergehenden Effekte auf die Arbeitswelt ist die Belastung der Mitarbeitenden in einen stärkeren Fokus gerückt worden. Dieser Umstand trifft unter anderem durch den umfassenden Wechsel in die Remote Work auch auf agile Software-Entwicklungsteams in vielen Unternehmen zu. Eine zu hohe Arbeitsbelastung kann zu diversen negativen Effekten, wie einem erhöhten Krankenstand, mangelndem Wohlbefinden der Mitarbeitenden oder reduzierter Produktivität führen. Es ist zudem bekannt, dass sich die Arbeitsbelastung in der Wissensarbeit auf die Qualität der Arbeitsergebnisse auswirkt. Dieser Forschungsbeitrag identifiziert potenzielle Faktoren der Arbeitsbelastung der Mitglieder eines agilen Software-Entwicklungsteams bei der Otto GmbH & Co KG. Auf der Grundlage der Faktoren präsentieren wir Maßnahmen zur Reduzierung von Arbeitsbelastung und erläutern unsere Erkenntnisse, die wir im Rahmen eines Experiments validiert haben. Unsere Ergebnisse zeigen, dass bereits kleinteilige Maßnahmen, wie das Einführen von Ruhearbeitsphasen während des Arbeitstages, zu positiven Effekten bspw. hinsichtlich einer gesteigerten Konzentrationsfähigkeit führen und wie sich diese auf die Qualität der Arbeitsergebnisse auswirken.
Daten sind für jedes Unternehmen die treibende Kraft und die konsistenteste Quelle für qualifizierte Entscheidungsprozesse. Für die optimale Nutzung der vorliegenden Daten über alle Geschäftsbereiche hinweg wird das Datenmanagement benötigt, jedoch bringt dessen Einführung große Herausforderungen mit sich. Wird es nicht eingeführt bzw. umgesetzt hat dies Folgen für das Unternehmen wie z. B. Wettbewerbsnachteile und hohe Kosten. Ziel dieser Bachelorarbeit ist es von Datenmanagement, den Nutzen aufzuzeigen, die Herausforderungen zu identifizieren und Lösungsansätze zu untersuchen bzw. eigene zu entwickeln. Das Ergebnis ist eine Untersuchung und ein Vergleich des Nutzens, der Herausforderungen sowie der Lösungsansätze im Datenmanagement, zwischen Literatur und einem Anwendungsfall.